Elon Musk predicts AI will be smarter than the smartest humans in the world next year
Elon Musk predicts: AI will be smarter than the smartest human next year
- Tesla founder, Elon Musk said artificial intelligence will show rapid improvements. Artificial Intelligence or AI will be smarter than the smartest humans in the world next year or in 2026.
Elon Musk also told Norwegian wealth fund Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) CEO Nicolai Tangen that AI is limited by the availability of electricity. The next version of Grok, an AI chatbot from his startup xAI, is expected to be trained in May.
“If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as being smarter than the smartest human, I think maybe next year or within two years,” Musk said when asked about the AGI development timeline.
The billionaire, who is also a co-founder of OpenAI, said the lack of advanced chips hampered training of Grok's version 2 model.
Elon Musk founded xAI last year as a challenger to OpenAI. He stated that OpenAI abandoned its original mission to develop artificial intelligence for the benefit of humanity and not for profit. OpenAI denies the allegations. Musk said training a Grok 2 model requires about 20,000 Nvidia (NVDA.O), H100 GPUs, adding that Grok 3 models and beyond will require 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips.
But he added that while the chip shortage has been a major obstacle to AI development so far, power supply will become crucial in the next year or two.
Talking about electric vehicles, Elon Musk reiterated that Chinese car manufacturers are the most competitive in the world. These Chinese electric cars pose the toughest competitive challenge for Tesla. He has previously warned that Chinese rivals would crush global rivals without trade barriers.
Elon Musk also discussed the union strike in Sweden against Tesla. "I think the storm has passed," he said. Tangen said SWF manages Norway's US$1.5 trillion sovereign wealth fund, which is one of Tesla's largest shareholders. The agency met with the head of the electric car company last month and received the latest information on the situation at Tesla.